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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 497369 times)

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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12400 on: September 23, 2020, 12:04:22 am »

I went ahead and took the Hogs +26.  I think UGA will be somewhat conservative and run he ball a lot which will shorten the game.  I also think we will score a couple times so maybe a 30-13 type game. 

widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12401 on: September 23, 2020, 10:32:00 am »

Saturday so far: NC St. -2.5, Marshall +4.5, Houston +4

Sunday: Lions +6, Eagles pk, Titans -7, Cowboys -4

Added BC +6 and Tulsa +24

Nothing like going 4-0 on a Saturday and then 0-4 on Sunday.

CFB: 6-1
NFL: 3-6

So far have played SC +4 and Bama -27.5 for this weekend.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12402 on: September 23, 2020, 10:33:31 am »

Waiting on 27-28 for Hogs, and like Auburn under 7.
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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12403 on: September 23, 2020, 03:36:05 pm »

Waiting on 27-28 for Hogs, and like Auburn under 7.
I already took UK +8.  Maybe my favorite play on Saturday. 
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jbcarol

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12405 on: September 24, 2020, 08:56:18 am »



Betting Stuff


Quote
Betting Stuff is a regular sports gambling column

If you’re looking for a quick primer on just how wacky the college football gambling landscape is in 2020, you could simply turn to the Navy (and the Army).

A program’s ability to squeeze in some spring practices
Arkansas State, for example, was 1 of 3 FBS programs to reach double-digit spring practice sessions and they engineered a shocking upset of Kansas State after covering on the road at Memphis to start the season. Practice time, coaching continuity, and returning production have been valuable predictors thus far, but will those data points continue to matter as the SEC returns to play?

SEC just means more … favorites covering
Does that mean the conference will be impervious to upsets in this unpredictable football climate? Early indicators favor 2 underdogs in the SEC’s first week back, namely a preponderance of money being wagered on Ole Miss and Arkansas.

When there’s a major discrepancy between the percentage of bets placed and the percentage of money wagered on a particular team, sharp action is usually the culprit. While Ole Miss is receiving a healthy 61% of early bets against Florida, those bets are accounting for 98% of all money wagered. Likewise, Arkansas has received 98% of all money wagered thus far, but accounts for just 37% of all tickets. That means when people are betting the Razorbacks, they’re betting BIG.

That mean large denomination not Big Ten.

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jbcarol

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12406 on: September 24, 2020, 11:49:37 am »



11:10 AM · Sep 24, 2020·


Quote
State at No.6 LSU

When: 2:30 p.m., Sat.

Where: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, La.

TV: CBS

Series: LSU leads 75-35-3.

Spread: LSU by 17

Let’s go streaking: LSU with two in a row.

Pro pick: LSU 35, Mississippi State 24


No.16 Tennessee at South Carolina

When: 6:30 p.m., Sat.

Where: Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, S.C.

TV: SEC Network

Series: Tennessee leads 26-10-2.

Spread: Tennessee by 3.

Let’s go streaking: Tennessee won in 2019.

Pro says: Vols senior quarterback Jarrett Guarantano after early struggles seemed to turn the corner late last season. When they knocked off South Carolina last season 41-21 it started a six-game winning streak. Tennessee is recruiting well, found their identity last year and is an ascending team.


No.5 Florida at Ole Miss

When: 11 a.m., Sat.

Where: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, Miss.

TV: ESPN

Series: Ole Miss leads 12-11-1.

Spread: Florida by 13.5.

Pro: The Ole Miss offense needs to become more balanced.

Pro pick: Florida 34, Mississippi 30

jbcarol

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12407 on: September 24, 2020, 03:49:31 pm »

Staff picks for Week 1


Quote
Picks are AGAINST THE SPREAD.

Alabama (-28) at Missouri, 6 p.m., ESPN
Tom Green: Alabama 45, Missouri 14

Kentucky (+7) at Auburn, 11 a.m., SEC Network
Michael Casagrande: Auburn 34, Kentucky 24

Tennessee (-3) at South Carolina, 6:30 p.m., SEC Network
Mark Heim: Tennessee

State (+16) at LSU, 2:30 p.m., CBS
Giana Han: LS

Florida (-14.5) at Ole Miss, 11 a.m., ESPN
Mark Inabinett: Ole Miss

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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12408 on: September 24, 2020, 05:39:51 pm »

Does anyone know of a site that will show how many and/or which players are out for college teams due to Covid?  I like to bet on games but if you take a team and then many of their players can't play that is a huge mistake. 

I like Hogs +27 and under 53 Saturday but not if we have key players out. 
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jbcarol

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12409 on: September 24, 2020, 06:38:27 pm »

Chico, coaches are holding out on the info.

It’s a crap shoot.
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jbcarol

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12410 on: September 24, 2020, 09:02:19 pm »



8:30 PM · Sep 24, 2020·


Quote
Weekly SEC picks are brought to you by MyBookie.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12411 on: September 24, 2020, 09:25:20 pm »

Does anyone know of a site that will show how many and/or which players are out for college teams due to Covid?  I like to bet on games but if you take a team and then many of their players can't play that is a huge mistake. 

I like Hogs +27 and under 53 Saturday but not if we have key players out. 

Would consider it an equalizer and bet as if it wasn't a factor. Would be easy to look into too much I think.

jbcarol

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12412 on: September 24, 2020, 09:28:03 pm »

Two weeks ago pre-game reports indicated Arkansas State was decimated, especially on defense, and they decimated Kansas State.

McKdaddy

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12413 on: September 26, 2020, 08:35:29 am »

DU  +4.5  1u
Miss St  +17  1u
VaT  -6.5  3u
Tulane  -3  1u
ISU  -2.5  2u
UA  +28  2u
Aub  -7  1u
UC  -11.5  1u
oSu  -6  1u
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12414 on: September 26, 2020, 10:26:43 am »

Added Hogs +28 and AUB -6.5

widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12415 on: September 26, 2020, 11:46:31 am »

So. Miss +3.5
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BigSexyHog

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12416 on: September 26, 2020, 11:57:30 am »

Took Ole Piss +14 , Auby -6.5 ( I should kick myself in the nuts)  frick you high school con-man Chad Morris,  pitt -3 and cuse +8

McKdaddy

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12417 on: September 26, 2020, 02:58:13 pm »

Took Ole Piss +14 , Auby -6.5 ( I should kick myself in the nuts)  frick you high school con-man Chad Morris,  pitt -3 and cuse +8



Ha/ha. Aubie was my 2nd fav pick of the weekend ..... you and I came out ahead despite Chaggie.
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McKdaddy

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12418 on: September 26, 2020, 04:00:57 pm »

Tcu chose, I guess, not to kick the XP when scoring a TD w/ 0.00 on the clock. The TD made it a 3-point game in ISU’s favor, so the XP wouldn’t have mattered.....except to those of us that had ISU -2.5, ha.
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OldCoot

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12419 on: September 27, 2020, 07:07:44 am »

If the points were 27.5, we covered the spread, right? By .5?
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McKdaddy

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12420 on: September 27, 2020, 07:52:53 am »

If the points were 27.5, we covered the spread, right? By .5?

Yes sir. I had UA +28 for 2u. So I needed the Hogs to stay w/in 28 points for me to win my speculated guess (what I call my bets, ha). If UA lost by 28 it would’ve been a “push” and my bet would be refunded less the “vig” — what the betting site (or any casino or bookie) charges to handle the bet. It UA had lost by more than 28 I would’ve lost the bet.

jbcarol

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12421 on: September 27, 2020, 08:24:11 am »

Took Ole Piss +14 , Auby -6.5 ( I should kick myself in the nuts)  frick you high school con-man Chad Morris,  pitt -3 and cuse +8

Lane went for two to try to get the push.

He just couldn't kick the field goal from point blank range for "the win" as that would be too obvious.
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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12422 on: September 27, 2020, 11:47:07 am »

Bills-2.5
Giants +4.5
Bengals/ Eagles over 46
Dallas +5
Chiefs +3
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12423 on: September 29, 2020, 11:20:51 am »

Tcu chose, I guess, not to kick the XP when scoring a TD w/ 0.00 on the clock. The TD made it a 3-point game in ISU’s favor, so the XP wouldn’t have mattered.....except to those of us that had ISU -2.5, ha.

Which is why in the nfl they at least have to line up and run a play on the xp. Now, many teams lineup on the 2 and just take knee, but they still have to do something.
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OnYourToes

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12424 on: September 29, 2020, 02:04:06 pm »

I was just wondering about this thread!

A friend of mine had the Hogs at +26 last week, thought it was a good number.
He was feeling ok, until the final GA Field Goal, then he saw the penalty and the announcers said something about GA taking the penalty and not the points, to put him back under the number, then they took the points and kicked to us. 

All time bad beat

hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12425 on: September 30, 2020, 10:38:01 am »

I was just wondering about this thread!

A friend of mine had the Hogs at +26 last week, thought it was a good number.
He was feeling ok, until the final GA Field Goal, then he saw the penalty and the announcers said something about GA taking the penalty and not the points, to put him back under the number, then they took the points and kicked to us. 

All time bad beat

Dang, when did he get +26? I had the Hogs +28, and actually saw it for a while at one pt last week at +28.5.
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OnYourToes

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12426 on: September 30, 2020, 10:56:10 am »

Dang, when did he get +26? I had the Hogs +28, and actually saw it for a while at one pt last week at +28.5.

Got it almost 2 weeks out, thought it was good enough to play. Then when the line jumped to +27, the +28 he felt worse and worse. The early play got him a parlay on some other games, and some NBA action at the time. He's more in that space than I am. 
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Arkansas WR

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12427 on: September 30, 2020, 11:27:26 am »

I was just wondering about this thread!

A friend of mine had the Hogs at +26 last week, thought it was a good number.
He was feeling ok, until the final GA Field Goal, then he saw the penalty and the announcers said something about GA taking the penalty and not the points, to put him back under the number, then they took the points and kicked to us. 

All time bad beat

Same thing happened to me. I had the option to let it change to the final line when I placed the bet, but I decided to take it where it was at. Bad move
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OnYourToes

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12428 on: September 30, 2020, 01:59:27 pm »

Same thing happened to me. I had the option to let it change to the final line when I placed the bet, but I decided to take it where it was at. Bad move

Betting is learning

BTW I'm not touching the +17.5 number this week. Had the chance to get a +18.5 but no dice on that

hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12429 on: September 30, 2020, 02:14:36 pm »

Betting is learning

BTW I'm not touching the +17.5 number this week. Had the chance to get a +18.5 but no dice on that


Had the hogs +28 last week. Put the winnings on MSU -17 as soon as the line came out Sunday. Leach is out to prove a point, he's at home, the Hogs are still thin at many key spots. Hogs will score some points this week, but MSU will score alot.
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jbcarol

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12430 on: October 01, 2020, 07:18:13 am »

https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/sec-football/betting-stuff-week-2-sec-college-football-gambling-advice

Underdogs covering at a 60%+, major double digit upsets: 2020

SEC dogs went 4-2-1

Early action % of tickets: Bama 87%, State 85%, Vols 83%

Hogs win ATS based on NCAA’14 Simulation (with 2020 rosters), FWIW

McKdaddy

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12431 on: October 01, 2020, 02:13:37 pm »

W/ covid uncertainties I should wait until closer to kick-off but I'm too impatient when I have a number I like.

SMU  +2.5  1u
OU  -7  1u
tu  -11  1u
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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12432 on: October 01, 2020, 08:58:30 pm »

I'm staying away from Hogs this week but I think they will be competitive as long as we keep the YAC to a minimum. 
I like TCU +12, UNC -13, La Tech +24, Auburn/UGA under, Navy/AF under

widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12433 on: October 01, 2020, 11:50:14 pm »

So far have played SC +4 and Bama -27.5 for this weekend.

Added Hogs +28 and AUB -6.5

So. Miss +3.5

CFB: 8-3-1
NFL: 3-6

Playing Hogs +17, WVU +3, and OM +6 for now

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12434 on: October 02, 2020, 09:26:36 am »

This week:

South Carolina @ FL -17.5
Mizzou @ Tenn -12.5
TCU +12 @ TX
Abilene Christian @ Army +30
A&M @ Bama -18
Oklahoma -7 @ Iowa St
Auburn @ GA -6.5
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12435 on: October 02, 2020, 02:29:19 pm »

1ST HALF

UCF -11.5
MSU-10
OU -3.5
LSU -13

GAME

TX -11.5
FLA -17.5
NC -14
KSU -2.5
VT -12.5

I'LL play some dogs, but waiting til closer to game time to see if any news leaks about players being out.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12436 on: October 02, 2020, 10:00:20 pm »

AUB +7.5

Edit to add: MIZ +13 and OM/KY u62...slow Fri. night.
« Last Edit: October 02, 2020, 10:38:13 pm by widespreadsooie »
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McKdaddy

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12437 on: October 02, 2020, 10:19:36 pm »

Added BU -1 1u & CC +3 1u

8-1 last week, but 12-8 (+11u) overall, which tells how ugly I began the season, ugh.

widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12438 on: October 02, 2020, 10:38:43 pm »

Added BU -1 1u & CC +3 1u

8-1 last week, but 12-8 (+11u) overall, which tells how ugly I began the season, ugh.

Was looking at CC too
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WILL CLINTON

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12439 on: October 03, 2020, 01:37:35 am »

Been a while, but IM BACK BABY!!

I'm really amazed this thread is still going after all these years, kudos to you fellas who been here since the beginning.

Got a few first half bets this week:

OK St -12.5 1u
LSU -11.5 1u
OU -3.5 1u

Since I've been gone I've learned a couple things, 1-bankroll management and 2-betting fewer games.

GL gents.

jbcarol

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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12441 on: October 05, 2020, 10:10:15 am »

1ST HALF

UCF -11.5
MSU-10
OU -3.5
LSU -13

GAME

TX -11.5
FLA -17.5
NC -14
KSU -2.5
VT -12.5

I'LL play some dogs, but waiting til closer to game time to see if any news leaks about players being out.

Well, that was a disaster
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12442 on: October 05, 2020, 10:22:54 am »

This week:

South Carolina @ FL -17.5
Mizzou @ Tenn -12.5
TCU +12 @ TX
Abilene Christian @ Army +30
A&M @ Bama -18
Oklahoma -7 @ Iowa St
Auburn @ GA -6.5


5-2 on the week, not bad.  Looking forward to this week!

How did everyone else do?
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12443 on: October 05, 2020, 01:07:10 pm »

5-2 on the week, not bad.  Looking forward to this week!

How did everyone else do?

To quote Jerry Reed in Smokey and the Bandit when asked about his fight with the bikers " bout like usual, I lost ".

onebadrubi

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12444 on: October 05, 2020, 06:36:08 pm »

Sunday afternoon hurt. my feelings.  had rams big and over raiders game 53.5.  Also had some laker/Heat bets that went like 0-9
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McKdaddy

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12445 on: October 05, 2020, 09:54:49 pm »

2-3 last week. 14-11, +8u on the season.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12446 on: October 06, 2020, 04:04:10 pm »

Playing Hogs +17, WVU +3, and OM +6 for now

AUB +7.5

Edit to add: MIZ +13 and OM/KY u62...slow Fri. night.

Dumb adds. 3-3 on the weekend. Still too scared to bet NFL lol.

CFB: 11-6-1
NFL: 3-6
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jbcarol

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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12448 on: October 07, 2020, 07:47:27 pm »

Couple early ones in hopes of not losing good numbers:

Hogs +14
UGA -12

OnYourToes

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #12449 on: October 08, 2020, 09:07:02 am »

Not feeling overwhelmingly secure about this week's picks, but it's all for fun anyway right?

FL -6.5 @ A&M
Citadel @ Army -29
Pitt -6 @ Boston College
Miami @ Clemson -14
Oklahoma -2.5 @ Texas
Tenn @ Georgia -12.5

Also looking at totals for
South Carolina @ Vandy Over 41.5
LSU @ Mizzou Under 54

Good luck everyone!
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