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Author Topic: 2/1 OP  (Read 340 times)

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holeinthewall

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2/1 OP
« on: January 31, 2018, 10:37:19 am »

Quote
No FTS in the 1st
Irish City Lad (1), Electric Avenue (7), & Bull City Bonus ( 8 )are FTS in the 4th.
There are 2 FTS in the MSW 7th & 7 (1 is AE) in the MSW 9th

I copied from the other thread.  Electric Avenue the work on 1/14 is exactly what I like a gate work in a good time.  Then he comes back with a couple nice breezes.  This horse will probably go favored in this race.  Not a lot to get excited about from the ones that have already run.

Am I missing something in Race 5 on the 6?  12-1 morning line dropping from 8K Starter race to a 6250 open race.  Positive jockey change to Santana.
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userpick

Re: 2/1 OP
« Reply #1 on: January 31, 2018, 06:30:09 pm »

Not to talk you off a horse, as Eletric Avenue could very well win, but I know when Brad debuts a horse for a cheap tag, he absolutely hates the horse. Iíll look tonight what his record is when doing such.
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cbhawg03

Re: 2/1 OP
« Reply #2 on: January 31, 2018, 07:16:13 pm »

Early Pick 4

1,2
1,3,5,6,7,8
2,10
6,9,10,11

1,2
7
2,4,9,10
6,9,10,11

Pick 5

6,9,10,11
8,9
2
4,5,7
1,4,7,8,9,14

Late pick 4

1,3,6,8,9
2
4,5,7
1,4,7,8,9,14
« Last Edit: February 01, 2018, 11:05:52 am by cbhawg03 »
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holeinthewall

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Re: 2/1 OP
« Reply #3 on: February 01, 2018, 06:37:47 am »

Not to talk you off a horse, as Eletric Avenue could very well win, but I know when Brad debuts a horse for a cheap tag, he absolutely hates the horse. Iíll look tonight what his record is when doing such.

That may be the case and one of the reasons last Thursday on the 5 in the first race I didn't play more than the DD with him was the trainer stats on 1st timers sucked.  I won't be loading up on this horse especially at 7-2 or less.  I prefer to find a 10-1 shot or higher first timer I think will run first out like the 10 in the 7th last Friday. 

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holeinthewall

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Re: 2/1 OP
« Reply #4 on: February 01, 2018, 06:39:51 am »

Early Pick 4

1,2
1,3,5,6,7,8
2,10
6,9,10,11

1,2
7
2,4,9,10
6,9,10,11

Pick 5

6,9,10,11
8,9
2
4,5,7
1,4,7,8,9,14

Late pick 4

1,3,6,8,9
2
4,5,7
1,4,7,8,9,14

So you are taking your chances and cutting your bet in half playing 2 P4 tickets and hoping one gets your price horse but the key horses you need.  And if you hit it right you get both tickets.  $36 vs $72 if my math is accurate.

I assume using the 1,2 in the first you are thinking the race will fall apart and the 3, 7,8 will hook up in a fast pace to run at.

 Just curious your reasoning for singling the 7 in Race 3 when the 5 beat him easily last time out?  Both were coming off a layoff I don't see where the 7 would improve more than the 5 in the 2nd start.

« Last Edit: February 01, 2018, 08:19:10 am by holeinthewall »
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holeinthewall

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Re: 2/1 OP
« Reply #5 on: February 01, 2018, 07:36:55 am »

Early P4..    FYI I usually hit 3 of 4 

1,2,7,8       7,8 Are the quickest and going 5 1/2 if they don't kill each other one has a shot to hang on.  If not the 1 or 2 picks up the pieces.
1,2,3,5,7,8
7               This race looks like garbage for the horses that have run.   I will take a stand with the only horse proven not to suck.
6,9,10,11   If there is a scratch I will look to add the 3 or 4 in this leg.
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Russ22

Re: 2/1 OP
« Reply #6 on: February 01, 2018, 08:46:35 am »

Is everyone taking a pass on the 1st & DD?  I am so new to this that I donít know how to approach the day. Basically, my $ goes to you guys & the track at this point.
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Russ22

Re: 2/1 OP
« Reply #7 on: February 01, 2018, 11:44:56 am »

Talk me out of this play in the 1st:
Exacta Box
1 - Pastiche
8 - Woodhaven Diva
5 - Herald Square
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userpick

Re: 2/1 OP
« Reply #8 on: February 01, 2018, 02:55:19 pm »

That may be the case and one of the reasons last Thursday on the 5 in the first race I didn't play more than the DD with him was the trainer stats on 1st timers sucked.  I won't be loading up on this horse especially at 7-2 or less.  I prefer to find a 10-1 shot or higher first timer I think will run first out like the 10 in the 7th last Friday. 




Like i said, bet the hell out of him!!
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Russ22

Re: 2/1 OP
« Reply #9 on: February 01, 2018, 04:03:40 pm »

Ha ha, userpick!


Late P3:
5 / 4, 5, 7 / 1, 4, 8, 10
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Russ22

Re: 2/1 OP
« Reply #10 on: February 01, 2018, 04:52:32 pm »

Ha ha, userpick!


Late P3:
5 / 4, 5, 7 / 1, 4, 8, 10

Alive to the last...
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Russ22

Re: 2/1 OP
« Reply #11 on: February 01, 2018, 05:14:41 pm »

Come on Munyak....
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holeinthewall

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Re: 2/1 OP
« Reply #12 on: February 02, 2018, 06:01:55 am »

I had a good day after I missed the 1st leg of the P4 I singled the 7 in the next 2 P3 and went deeper in Race 5 hit them both. Had a small win wager on the 7 as he went off at even money.  Hit the later pick 4 but it only paid $140.   Can't complain


BTW Cox has the 11 horse in the 1st race today that looks like he could fire 1st out like the 7 yesterday.  Only problem is there are a couple other 1st timers that look live
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