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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 416567 times)

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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11400 on: July 14, 2018, 08:25:18 am »

I’m shocked Ms st is 8.5.  That’s big
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widespreadsooie

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11401 on: July 28, 2018, 01:31:54 pm »

TN o5.5 and MIZ o7 regular season wins

Missouri coming down from 7.5 is big. I do not see how this offense will lose six games.

So. Car +12.5 vs. UGA on Game of the Year line
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widespreadsooie

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11402 on: August 21, 2018, 06:42:34 pm »

Some more futures bets:

Dallas Cowboys u8.5 wins
Miami Hurricane u9.5 wins
Arizona to win the Pac 12 +1700
Oregon to win their division +400

Put the latter two in awhile back, think they're closer to +800 and +250 now. Probably wouldn't play either at that.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11403 on: August 21, 2018, 09:19:11 pm »

Some more futures bets:

Dallas Cowboys u8.5 wins
Miami Hurricane u9.5 wins
Arizona to win the Pac 12 +1700
Oregon to win their division +400

Put the latter two in awhile back, think they're closer to +800 and +250 now. Probably wouldn't play either at that.

Care to discuss that Miami bet?  I was thinking they win 10 and was looking at the Over. 
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McKdaddy

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11404 on: August 21, 2018, 10:11:36 pm »

Wyoming  -3.5  1u
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widespreadsooie

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11405 on: August 21, 2018, 10:33:59 pm »

Care to discuss that Miami bet?  I was thinking they win 10 and was looking at the Over. 

I'll begin by saying that it's a small bet and I've never bet win totals outside of the SEC because I simply don't follow the other conferences as close. However, Miami is a national brand that the public wants to be good again in a bad way. That alone tells me the number is slightly inflated. They were a legit playoff contender until taking two gut wrenching losses to end the season, and then losing their bowl game. Not conducive to momentum. They also went the whole month of October last season winning by an average margin of 2.5 points against bad teams, frankly. Their schedule isn't easy this season. Road games at BC, VA, GT, and VT plus FSU at home and the neutral site game to kick the season off against LSU. I see 3-3 at best over those six.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11406 on: August 21, 2018, 10:41:12 pm »

I'll begin by saying that it's a small bet and I've never bet win totals outside of the SEC because I simply don't follow the other conferences as close. However, Miami is a national brand that the public wants to be good again in a bad way. That alone tells me the number is slightly inflated. They were a legit playoff contender until taking two gut wrenching losses to end the season, and then losing their bowl game. Not conducive to momentum. They also went the whole month of October last season winning by an average margin of 2.5 points against bad teams, frankly. Their schedule isn't easy this season. Road games at BC, VA, GT, and VT plus FSU at home and the neutral site game to kick the season off against LSU. I see 3-3 at best over those six.

Fair enough.  I haven’t placed mine yet.  And the reason really is Richt seems to just win regular season games.  I was more so interested in a bet on that. 
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widespreadsooie

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11407 on: August 21, 2018, 10:57:23 pm »

Fair enough.  I haven’t placed mine yet.  And the reason really is Richt seems to just win regular season games.  I was more so interested in a bet on that. 

I like Richt a lot and think he'll have Miami back to being consistently relevant. 10-2 is a tall order though, even after doing it last season. As things stand today, I'm definitely betting on underdogs to win SU to hit the under. 
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McKdaddy

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11408 on: August 22, 2018, 08:08:04 am »

Final bets on win totals:

Aub  u8.5  1u (emotional bet)
Mizzou  u7  1u
ODU  o5.5  2u
Vandy  u4  1u
USC  o8  1u
BC  o5.5  2u
Cal  o5.5  1u
UA  u6  1u (hope to lose this one)
LSU  o6.5  1u
Wisc  o9.5  1u
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widespreadsooie

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11409 on: August 22, 2018, 08:32:21 am »

Final bets on win totals:

Aub  u8.5  1u (emotional bet)
Mizzou  u7  1u
ODU  o5.5  2u
Vandy  u4  1u
USC  o8  1u
BC  o5.5  2u
Cal  o5.5  1u
UA  u6  1u (hope to lose this one)
LSU  o6.5  1u
Wisc  o9.5  1u

Like that BC over, would consider playing it at 5.5 but I can only get 6.5.
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McKdaddy

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11410 on: August 22, 2018, 09:52:39 am »

Glad to see HV's biggest, longest running thread reappear for its annual glory.

BigSexyHog

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11411 on: August 22, 2018, 12:25:41 pm »

Looking forward to spending alot of time in this thread.  Got my account ready for the season opener in a few days :)

OnYourToes

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11412 on: August 22, 2018, 03:17:55 pm »

Looking ahead to Week 1 of College Football.  I think this is one of the best times to make plays and set up your bank for the year.  Rusty teams, cross country travel, and general perception can make for some lofty pay days right from the start.
 
Sat 9/1
North Carolina @ Cal (-7.5)
UNC will have some players suspended.  Cross Country travel. Home opener for Cal.  I like Cal to cover, thinking 28 to 17.

SMU @ N. Texas (-3.5)
SMU lost their coach and almost the entire staff.  This is their first game of the new regime and it is on the road.    N. Texas has a team that can make some noise and really put points on the board.  Home opener for N. Texas and they may pounce on SMU early and not let them back in the game.  I like N. Texas to pull away late, thinking 45 to 38

Michigan @ Notre Dame (+1.5)
Yes, ND is a Home dog with high expectations.  Michigan has a new QB and possibly their last season under Jim Harbaugh.  On the road, at night, in front of a ND crow who expects the Irish to win the NC this year.  It will be loud and hostile.  I like ND to win outright, thinking 28 to 24

Navy @ Hawaii (+17)
I love Hawaii in the early days of this season.  They will have already played a game on Sat 8/25, they traveled to Colorado St.  And will have had a full week to recover and get ready for their home opener.  Navy travels from the East Coast to Hawaii, a full 6 hour time difference.  I'm not calling for Hawaii's outright win, but I do think 17 points is a little much.  I'm thinking they still lose but only by two touchdowns.  Navy will control the clock and will not have enough time to run the win past two possessions.  I'm thinking, 27 to 13

That's all I have been looking at to this point.  As days get closer, I may update my picks but these are early leans.

Welcome back "Investing" Thread!     
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widespreadsooie

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11413 on: August 22, 2018, 03:32:03 pm »

Really like the UNT play, I'll be on that come kick.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11414 on: August 22, 2018, 04:16:43 pm »

Really like the UNT play, I'll be on that come kick.

I think they will be a good pick throughout the year.  I like having that one mid level team to ride, last year was NM st.  Unt may be the one this year
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11415 on: August 23, 2018, 02:40:16 pm »

Looking forward to spending alot of time in this thread.  Got my account ready for the season opener in a few days :)

My acct is ready too. I put the $ in, then took it out and burned it, so I am at zero like I would normally be around Oct 15. I'll just lie about all the wins I have.
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BigSexyHog

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11416 on: August 25, 2018, 08:47:04 pm »

Opening Day

NC A&T +9.5
Wyoming -5
Suck Colo St -17
Over HAWAII/CSU 58

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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11417 on: August 25, 2018, 09:01:45 pm »

I'm on Wyoming tonight.  Craig Bohl will have them ready and I don't think Josh Allen will be missed that much.  NM st lost their talented QB also and they had a nice year last year but I think this line is off by a few points. 

A couple of my favorite win total bets are Wazzu under 6, Rutgers over 3.5, WVU over 7.5 and Duke over 6. 
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McKdaddy

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11418 on: August 25, 2018, 09:56:15 pm »

Got WY at -3.5 (see above), however it debuted on my site at-7, then was driven down by 1/2 on the 21st.
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DadVader1

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11419 on: August 28, 2018, 06:43:59 am »

Good to see so many familiar faces back for another season!  Flipping houses as a side hustle is keeping me too busy to leave time to maintain football spreadsheets for now, but I'll be lurking throughout the season.  Life is good and will just get better with the return of football season!  Thanks in advance for sharing your knowledge and talents.

campushog23

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11420 on: August 29, 2018, 09:20:56 pm »

Week 1:
NW/Purdue o52
FAU +20.5
UNT -4.5 2u
FIU +10

Sure I'll get caught up in the excitement of college football and bet a couple of the big games on Saturday.
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McKdaddy

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11421 on: August 30, 2018, 10:24:44 am »

Week one's capital-risked speculations:

Unlv  +26.5  2u
OSU  -38.5  1u
MTSU  +3  1u
WSU  -1  1u
ND  -1.5  1u
CC  +29.5  1u
TN  +10  1u

ND/Mich  u46.5  1u
VaT/FSU  o55  1u
UL/Bama  u62.5  1u
Fau/OU  u72  1u
Neb/Akr  o54.5  1u
Umass  +18  1u
Md/tx  o53.5  1u
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McKdaddy

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11422 on: August 30, 2018, 10:43:27 am »

nm
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widespreadsooie

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11423 on: August 30, 2018, 10:47:11 am »

No. TX -4.5
TN +10
TX -10.5

May add a few more
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widespreadsooie

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11424 on: August 30, 2018, 12:58:33 pm »

OU -20.5
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BigSexyHog

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11425 on: August 30, 2018, 05:42:43 pm »

See how we can start off tonight. 

Purdue -1
Tulane +7
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11426 on: August 31, 2018, 09:31:44 am »

See how we can start off tonight. 

Purdue -1
Tulane +7


Typical start for me.

Pur -1.5 L
Mn/NMSU ov 47.5 W
Wake -6 Push
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SPAL

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11427 on: August 31, 2018, 10:23:59 am »

I'm taking Duke -13.5 over army
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widespreadsooie

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11428 on: August 31, 2018, 10:31:05 am »

Final add: ND ML -125

To recap for Sat:

TN +10
TX -10.5
No. TX -4.5
OU -20.5
ND ML -125
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McKdaddy

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11429 on: August 31, 2018, 10:46:25 am »

Interesting tidbits from Chris Fallica this am:

Unlv is 6-1 ATS as a dog of > 21 pts under current HC.  Included in that are covers @ Mich, @ OSU, & @ Ucla.  USC was 0-5 in '17 at home as double-digit favs.

SC is 0-3 ATS under Muschampg as 20-pt favs, w/ all 3 occurring before a matchup vs Clem or an SEC opponent.  SC has Uga next week.

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Hawgndaaz

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11430 on: August 31, 2018, 11:33:55 am »

Notre Dame -1.5
Texas -13
Miami -3.5
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widespreadsooie

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11431 on: August 31, 2018, 03:38:25 pm »

Interesting tidbits from Chris Fallica this am:

Unlv is 6-1 ATS as a dog of > 21 pts under current HC.  Included in that are covers @ Mich, @ OSU, & @ Ucla.  USC was 0-5 in '17 at home as double-digit favs.

SC is 0-3 ATS under Muschampg as 20-pt favs, w/ all 3 occurring before a matchup vs Clem or an SEC opponent.  SC has Uga next week.



Thought about playing Coastal. SC has most likely had their focus on UGA and they’ve also been getting a little offseason hype which probably has the number inflated a tad.
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Arctic Hog

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11432 on: August 31, 2018, 07:28:33 pm »

Anyone have recommendations on sports betting sites?  Looking for the easiest, most straightforward sites.  Is it still necessary to shift funds around through intermediary sites to make deposits?  I'd prefer to make a deposit straight from my checking account or credit card without it being locked for suspected fraudulent activity.
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Spikes

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11433 on: August 31, 2018, 08:11:35 pm »

WV over 7.5 wins


Tenn +10

Texas Tech -2.5

Over Col/Col State 65.5

Washington +2.5
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InHognito

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11434 on: August 31, 2018, 08:25:50 pm »

Notre Dame -1.5
Texas -13
Miami -3.5

Interesting. Dont like ND as they lost a lot last season both on the field and in coaching, although it is at home. Also like LSU as they finally have a QB and Miami is a little overrated under Richt

WV over 7.5 wins


Tenn +10

Texas Tech -2.5

Over Col/Col State 65.5

Washington +2.5

Taking TTU over Ole Miss? Kliff hasnt had a defense since hes been there and Ole Miss has much better talent. Not sure their coaching is good but they have the better players IMO
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SPAL

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11435 on: August 31, 2018, 09:24:16 pm »

Anyone have recommendations on sports betting sites?  Looking for the easiest, most straightforward sites.  Is it still necessary to shift funds around through intermediary sites to make deposits?  I'd prefer to make a deposit straight from my checking account or credit card without it being locked for suspected fraudulent activity.

Betonline or bovada. Betonline is really good. You can pull straight from a cc
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SPAL

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11436 on: August 31, 2018, 09:25:11 pm »

I'm taking Duke -13.5 over army

Good to start off the season with a dub..

1-0
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11437 on: September 01, 2018, 09:03:25 am »

Norte Dame +1.5 / 5 units
Auburn -2 / 5 units
Louisville +25 /. Dime play

onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11438 on: September 01, 2018, 10:22:39 am »

Anyone have recommendations on sports betting sites?  Looking for the easiest, most straightforward sites.  Is it still necessary to shift funds around through intermediary sites to make deposits?  I'd prefer to make a deposit straight from my checking account or credit card without it being locked for suspected fraudulent activity.

Personally I would not link my checking account to any of these offshore books.  Make sure to use a CC for added protection, in my opinion. 

McKdaddy

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11439 on: September 01, 2018, 11:51:22 am »

Unlv  1H  +17  2u
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SPAL

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11440 on: September 01, 2018, 11:54:11 am »

UMass +21
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Arctic Hog

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11441 on: September 01, 2018, 12:34:40 pm »

Good point, thank you for the reminder!

Personally I would not link my checking account to any of these offshore books.  Make sure to use a CC for added protection, in my opinion.
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Spikes

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11442 on: September 01, 2018, 12:48:30 pm »

Interesting. Dont like ND as they lost a lot last season both on the field and in coaching, although it is at home. Also like LSU as they finally have a QB and Miami is a little overrated under Richt

Taking TTU over Ole Miss? Kliff hasnt had a defense since hes been there and Ole Miss has much better talent. Not sure their coaching is good but they have the better players IMO

Line should have said +2.5 not -  I bought the .5 to make it +3.  Ole Miss has better talent on paper for sure.  Shall see if their D can hold up for the entire game against TT O. 
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Spikes

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11443 on: September 01, 2018, 12:48:52 pm »

Norte Dame +1.5 / 5 units
Auburn -2 / 5 units
Louisville +25 /. Dime play

welcome back Jeff
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BigSexyHog

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11444 on: September 01, 2018, 03:51:36 pm »

Pretty good start to the day

FAU/OK OVer  (w)
Ole Piss/ Tech OVer (w)
Rutgets - 17   (w)
Texass (They suck)  (L)

pending
Iowa -9
Cal -7
Old Do - 6
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11445 on: September 01, 2018, 04:35:52 pm »

welcome back Jeff

Thank you sir.  Hope everyone has a profitable day!
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widespreadsooie

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11446 on: September 02, 2018, 12:26:52 pm »

Final add: ND ML -125

To recap for Sat:

TN +10
TX -10.5
No. TX -4.5
OU -20.5
ND ML -125

3-2

Playing LSU +3 tonight
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SPAL

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11447 on: September 02, 2018, 04:41:01 pm »

Miami -2.5
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InHognito

Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11448 on: September 02, 2018, 04:58:11 pm »

Miami -2.5

This is a tough game, obviously Vegas agrees.

I think LSU has way more talent than Miami and they finally have a QB. But no way Orgeron out-prepared Richt this off season and its in Miami.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #11449 on: September 04, 2018, 04:55:06 pm »

Looking ahead to Week 1 of College Football.  I think this is one of the best times to make plays and set up your bank for the year.  Rusty teams, cross country travel, and general perception can make for some lofty pay days right from the start.
 
Sat 9/1
North Carolina @ Cal (-7.5)
UNC will have some players suspended.  Cross Country travel. Home opener for Cal.  I like Cal to cover, thinking 28 to 17.

SMU @ N. Texas (-3.5)
SMU lost their coach and almost the entire staff.  This is their first game of the new regime and it is on the road.    N. Texas has a team that can make some noise and really put points on the board.  Home opener for N. Texas and they may pounce on SMU early and not let them back in the game.  I like N. Texas to pull away late, thinking 45 to 38

Michigan @ Notre Dame (+1.5)
Yes, ND is a Home dog with high expectations.  Michigan has a new QB and possibly their last season under Jim Harbaugh.  On the road, at night, in front of a ND crow who expects the Irish to win the NC this year.  It will be loud and hostile.  I like ND to win outright, thinking 28 to 24

Navy @ Hawaii (+17)
I love Hawaii in the early days of this season.  They will have already played a game on Sat 8/25, they traveled to Colorado St.  And will have had a full week to recover and get ready for their home opener.  Navy travels from the East Coast to Hawaii, a full 6 hour time difference.  I'm not calling for Hawaii's outright win, but I do think 17 points is a little much.  I'm thinking they still lose but only by two touchdowns.  Navy will control the clock and will not have enough time to run the win past two possessions.  I'm thinking, 27 to 13

That's all I have been looking at to this point.  As days get closer, I may update my picks but these are early leans.

Welcome back "Investing" Thread!     

I'm looking at a 3-1 start, if only Cal would've had one more score. . .
Oh well, wasn't too heavy on them.

I should've taken Hawaii for the outright, they really surprised me.

On to week 2. . . . will post picks tomorrow
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