Hogville

File 13 => Trash => Topic started by: Ben on October 16, 2018, 01:00:04 pm

Title: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Ben on October 16, 2018, 01:00:04 pm
How confident are you for this Saturday?
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: NaturalStateReb on October 16, 2018, 01:01:18 pm
Very.  Like win by 10+ with Boyd in the lineup.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: HogPharmer on October 16, 2018, 01:16:52 pm
Slightly confident with the uncertainty of Storey. Their QB is not good. I think his completion percentage is under 40% over the last couple games. I think he’s the backup, as their starter was injured at some point earlier in the season. They have a decent RB. I just hope we load the box and make them try to beat us with the passing game.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: LRHawg on October 16, 2018, 10:09:04 pm
Boyd and Ty play = 85%

Just Boyd and Noland QB = 75%

Boyd + steamboat = 45%

No Boyd, Ty, and Steamboat starting = 1%
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: checkraiser88 on October 16, 2018, 10:25:05 pm
With Ty and Boyd I'm very confident now. I was worried for a sec.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: PORKULATOR on October 16, 2018, 10:34:17 pm
We're going to stomp their arses.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: hogfanny on October 16, 2018, 10:49:22 pm
Still optimistic and ready for win.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Locutus_of_Boar on October 16, 2018, 10:51:25 pm
The last three losses to Tulsa all came in JFB's time and all came as true surprises, most especially 1971.  At least since the 1950's there has not been a case like the current year where TU is thought to have a real potential to win.

I was in the stands as a student the last time Arkansas lost to Tulsa.  In those days the visitors and the students were seated next to each other and the most excitement that day was the big fight that broke out a few rows above me that day.

As I recall an ex-Razorback PK kicked three FG's to the Hog's one FG and I'm convinced that day was the day Arkansas' coach decided to retire himself.

Given the emotional swings of the last few weeks and the injury situation It's extremely unlikely this team isn't looking over its shoulder even if they got up 20-0 at the half like the much, much better '71 team did.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: swineology on October 16, 2018, 10:59:21 pm
About as confident as I was against Ole Miss, slightly.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Tick Hog on October 16, 2018, 11:31:07 pm
 I’m pretty confident but that doesn’t mean anything. Tulsa doesn’t throw it very well ( ranks 114th ) or stop the run ( 105th ). As long as we don’t go out and throw picks or put it on the ground we should win.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Pig in the Pokey on October 16, 2018, 11:32:19 pm
Very.  Like win by 10+ with Boyd in the lineup.
Free money Arkansas -6. LOCk
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Tick Hog on October 16, 2018, 11:34:46 pm
Free money Arkansas -6. LOCk
I’d have to know that Boyd and Ty are full go with no limitations before I would touch it
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Hawgphat on October 16, 2018, 11:45:48 pm



                                                                          :(
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: 31to6 on October 17, 2018, 09:38:58 am
How confident are you for this Saturday?
With Ty, Boyd (and Maleek)? 8-9 [Tulsa has been playing better lately]

With both gone? 4-5

With one out? 6-7
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: jkstock04 on October 17, 2018, 09:55:12 am
50/50 chance. Would have to be a homer to think this game is an automatic win...no evidence to support that.

I do think this is a game we can win though if everything goes right. Have to limit mistakes and play good special teams.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: jkstock04 on October 17, 2018, 09:57:01 am
Slightly confident with the uncertainty of Storey. Their QB is not good. I think his completion percentage is under 40% over the last couple games. I think he’s the backup, as their starter was injured at some point earlier in the season. They have a decent RB. I just hope we load the box and make them try to beat us with the passing game.
Their starter was garbage. Guy was a turnover machine.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: BassinHawg on October 17, 2018, 10:02:10 am
60/40 Tulsa.

Can see Tulsa winning 31-30 on a late FG.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: zane on October 17, 2018, 10:06:02 am
Boyd is going to run for 200 and 2 TD's

Hogs are about take out some aggression on a weak opponent
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Smalltownhog95 on October 17, 2018, 10:32:02 am
I'll throw my 2 cents in here and say we win and by double digits (If we have Boyd healthy all game). I was really excited to have him commited to us after I saw Last Chance U and he's starting to run like he did later on in that season.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: The Kig on October 17, 2018, 10:48:47 am
Confident that we will play Tulsa.  Anything beyond that has proven to be a crapshoot.   

Losing 2 in the 4th quarter, getting blown out by UNT, then playing pretty decent vs. A&M and Bama only to blow a 9 point 4th quarter lead to Ole Miss... sheer rollercoaster of pain followed by disappointment served up with a healthy portion of WTH. 
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: HuntsvilleHawgFan on October 17, 2018, 11:16:25 am
It depends, what color helmet are we wearing?  That seems to be the determining factor, at least according to HV.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: LRHawg on October 17, 2018, 11:56:17 am
Boyd and Ty play = 85%

Just Boyd and Noland QB = 75%

Boyd + steamboat = 45%

No Boyd, Ty, and Steamboat starting = 1%

Looks like Boyd and Ty will be playing. I'll go ahead and stick with my 85%.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: OkieBack on October 17, 2018, 11:58:26 am
Boyd is going to run for 200 and 2 TD's

Hogs are about take out some aggression on a weak opponent

Tulsa has had close games just like Arkansas.  But based on Chavis conference earlier, I think his Defense wants to go out and really, really play the best game they are capable of playing for Coach and see if they can't create some havoc for Tulsa, big time.  I don't think if I were Tulsa I would look forward to playing this Defense right now.  I think they will come out p'd off and I think they may have their best game of the year.  We will see if that's enough. 
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: jackflash on October 17, 2018, 12:08:40 pm
for me until our defensive show we can stop some one who knows.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: bigred223 on October 17, 2018, 12:08:50 pm
Can they throw the football? No.

This game is all about effort. If we bring the effort, then we win big.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: LRhawg926 on October 17, 2018, 12:11:14 pm
I was at a 9 vs. Ole Miss. Then I knew it was over when Boyd, Whaley, and Storey went down. Went from 9-0 real quick. In this game, I'm a 6 if Storey and Boyd play. I'm a 2 if they don't....
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: mizzouman on October 17, 2018, 12:23:23 pm
Arkansas by 5. 
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: OkieBack on October 17, 2018, 12:25:01 pm
I was at a 9 vs. Ole Miss. Then I knew it was over when Boyd, Whaley, and Storey went down. Went from 9-0 real quick. In this game, I'm a 6 if Storey and Boyd play. I'm a 2 if they don't....

If Arkansas plays a full game just like they did the 1st half against Ole Miss...it's a win.  If they play a full game like the 2nd half against Ole Miss...it's a loss.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: pigroots on October 17, 2018, 01:06:11 pm
I don't know how any of us can have confidence in a 1 win team at this point. I have hope we show up and play well on both sides of the ball. Anything less than that I believe we will do what we have done to this point...find a way to lose. Tulsa has played well against the better teams on their schedule. There are no easy games for the hogs this year
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: #hammerdown on October 17, 2018, 03:33:45 pm
As far as strengths and weaknesses go this is our best match up all year.  We have superior talent but that didn’t mean anything in the early games.  But they are a poor passing team—our weakness.  They rely on the run—stopping it is our strength.

They are poor at stopping the run—our strength.

As long as Storey and Boyd are healthy we should be fine.  If Storey doesn’t play it will come down to how well a very young freshman does in reading the defense and protecting the ball.  That could be our biggest risk of losing.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: casken on October 17, 2018, 03:52:56 pm
I 'm confident unless we lead by two scores going into the fourth. Then we are likely toast!
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: MJ2 on October 17, 2018, 04:00:32 pm
Not.   Tulsa will view it as a MAJOR win for their program.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Hoginsavga on October 17, 2018, 04:21:11 pm
I 'm confident unless we lead by two scores going into the fourth. Then we are likely toast!

You probably meant that as sarcasm but I honestly believe there is some truth in that. If we are leading going into the fourth I expect we will begin trying to eat time off the clock much like CBB did for five years and we did this year against CSU and Ole Miss. If Tulsa is leading we will as least keep our offense in a game plan that gives us a chance.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: WedingtonStreaker on October 17, 2018, 04:31:08 pm
Slightly confident with the uncertainty of Storey. Their QB is not good. I think his completion percentage is under 40% over the last couple games. I think he’s the backup, as their starter was injured at some point earlier in the season. They have a decent RB. I just hope we load the box and make them try to beat us with the passing game.

I feel like this is what every single team we have played against has said about us...Minus AL
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Justifiable Hogicide on October 17, 2018, 05:36:48 pm
Ark State beat Tulsa this year.
We should not be even asking this question.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Ramtough on October 17, 2018, 05:42:49 pm
With TY 85%
Without TY 50%
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: jgphillips3 on October 17, 2018, 08:31:14 pm
With Ty and Boyd healthy, 95%.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: GuvHog on October 17, 2018, 09:01:22 pm
Ty and Boyd are both playing so I'll say 90%.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: TeufelHog on October 17, 2018, 09:26:20 pm
Not very confidant.  Team is (understandably) physically and emotionally spent after their last 6 losses.  Offense should be missing it’s starting QB for concussion protocol.  He was “knocked out.”  I think we are foolish to believe he’s playing against Tulsa.  Coaching staff will most likely not start/play the most mobile QB back-up.  Defense still cannot execute the fundamentals of tackling or defending a simple slant pass.  We are still installing new schemes in all three phases of our program.  Etc . . .

Tulsa is not a “slouch” opponent.  I expect a loss to a similar style of play of North Texas.  Not gonna keep me from driving down from north of KC to cheer on my Hogs though.  Even through these losses it has been amazing to watch the growth/improvement in our team.  We are getting better!  GHG!  WPS!
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Hollywood_HOGan45 on October 18, 2018, 05:51:32 am
Confident but if there is a way to lose this game, we will find it.
We have been good at stopping a conventional running game. This tulsa team cannot throw the ball like our previous opponents.  If we have a healthy offense, we should get our first win in an eternity. My only worry is this team/program is so downtrodden and their confidence may not be all that high at this point.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: riccoar on October 18, 2018, 06:29:51 am
Tulsa is a team that was down to UCA, yes the one in Conway, in the 4th Quarter.  UCA is their only win.  One of their losses was to Arkansas State.  Losing to Tulsa would mean this team has regressed back to the point of Colorado State / UNT.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Hogmatic on October 18, 2018, 07:28:36 am
Not very confidant.  Team is (understandably) physically and emotionally spent after their last 6 loses.  Offense should be missing it’s starting QB for concussion protocol.  He was “knocked out.”  I think we are foolish to believe he’s playing against Tulsa.  Coaching staff will most likely not start/play the most mobile QB back-up.  Defense still cannot execute the fundamentals of tackling or defending a simple slant pass.  We are still installing new schemes in all three phases of our program.  Etc . . .

Tulsa is not a “slouch” opponent.  I expect a loss to a similar style of play of North Texas.  Not gonna keep me from driving down from north of KC to cheer on my Hogs though.  Even through these losses it has been amazing to watch the growth/improvement in our team.  We are getting better!  GHG!  WPS!

I worry about them being physically and emotionally spent as you say.  We have played a VERY tough stretch of games - AU, A&M, Bama, and OM.  I think the OM game hurt our psyche more than we want to admit because we had them beat before the injuries.   A tough pill to swallow can get in the heads of some in the locker room.  I just hope the players focus on the positives from OM before we lost our 3 best players of that game.  The HOPE of winning a game since Tulsa isn't high caliber should motivate these guys.   We don't have the talent to show up and win against anyone.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: 007 License To Squeal on October 19, 2018, 06:58:04 am
With Storey out, my vote just dropped to slightly confident.
Title: Ty Out Per Morning Rush.
Post by: rhames on October 19, 2018, 07:06:40 am
https://twitter.com/RushJohnNabors/status/1053242959926345729?s=19
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Hogmatic on October 19, 2018, 07:06:51 am
I'm concerned but it is obvious the team has been practicing with Connor and Cole.   CCM has been dancing around the issue with hints that he is approved to practice, day to day, yet not approved to PLAY.   Ty looks good but he can't sustain another shot to the head for a while.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: rhames on October 19, 2018, 07:15:12 am
I'm concerned but it is obvious the team has been practicing with Connor and Cole.   CCM has been dancing around the issue with hints that he is approved to practice, day to day, yet not approved to PLAY.   Ty looks good but he can't sustain another shot to the head for a while.


I've observed that they usualy know by Monday who can go for the Saturday coming up. I pretty much thought he was out when Morris talked to the media Monday.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Hogmatic on October 19, 2018, 07:20:55 am

I've observed that they usualy know by Monday who can go for the Saturday coming up. I pretty much thought he was out when Morris talked to the media Monday.

Concussions don't clear up in a day or 2 so you make sense.  I hope Connor has been improving by getting the increased reps in practice since before OM.  I suspect that Connor is going to do much better behind this Oline than the matador Oline against UNT.  I'm concerned and worried but it is obvious the team has been practicing with Connor and Cole.   
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: rhames on October 19, 2018, 07:34:28 am
Concussions don't clear up in a day or 2 so you make sense.  I hope Connor has been improving by getting the increased reps in practice since before OM.  I suspect that Connor is going to do much better behind this Oline than the matador Oline against UNT.  I'm concerned and worried but it is obvious the team has been practicing with Connor and Cole.   

What makes sense for them, IMO, to do is start Connor and continue to use Cole in the grave digger packages. Guess we will see.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Hogmatic on October 19, 2018, 07:43:24 am
What makes sense for them, IMO, to do is start Connor and continue to use Cole in the grave digger packages. Guess we will see.

I completely agree.  The team may rally to the cause and play better?   The improving Oline may step it up even more?  I doubt Tulsa can take O'Grady and Cantrell out like OM did.  Mike Woods, Warren, Stewart need to show out to give the QB quick releases.  Will Pettway play like Tarzan instead of Jane?  Can our WRs that are perfect for C-USA thrive in this game without physical press coverage from SEC Corners.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: rhames on October 19, 2018, 07:52:09 am
I completely agree.  The team may rally to the cause and play better?   The improving Oline may step it up even more?  I doubt Tulsa can take O'Grady and Cantrell out like OM did.  Mike Woods, Warren, Stewart need to show out to give the QB quick releases.  Will Pettway play like Tarzan instead of Jane?  Can our WRs that are perfect for C-USA thrive in this game without physical press coverage from SEC Corners.


Pettway physically looked like a legit SEC receiver last Saturday. Wonder what the story is there.


Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Hogmatic on October 19, 2018, 08:10:09 am

Pettway physically looked like a legit SEC receiver last Saturday. Wonder what the story is there.

He seems to have inconsistent motivation.  He doesn't fight and physically push through Press Coverage, YET he is a physical specimen that should be able to excel in that fight.  Weird to say the least.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: grayhawg on October 19, 2018, 09:39:13 am
With Storey I would be very confident with him out we may well be in for another loss.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Atlhogfan1 on October 19, 2018, 09:53:31 am
Game shouldn't be won or lost on our anemic passing game.  This game should be about running the ball and stopping the run.  Get creative in our run game if we have to (ie Boyd not 100%) and involve a player like Warren in addition to Hayden and Williams.  I look for Chavis to rotate in a lot of players in the first half in the line and to see backup LBs more often early. 
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Hogmatic on October 19, 2018, 11:24:18 am
Game shouldn't be won or lost on our anemic passing game.  This game should be about running the ball and stopping the run.  Get creative in our run game if we have to (ie Boyd not 100%) and involve a player like Warren in addition to Hayden and Williams.  I look for Chavis to rotate in a lot of players in the first half in the line and to see backup LBs more often early.

I like that analysis.  The Tulsa defense is terrible against the pass so Connor NOland won't be going up against a Bama, A&M, AU, etc defense.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: jackflash on October 19, 2018, 11:34:04 am
 everyone has been able to throw on us. so why not Tulsa
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: HogPharmer on October 19, 2018, 11:41:06 am
everyone has been able to throw on us. so why not Tulsa

Because their RS Freshman backup QB who has played the last 2 games for Tulsa is 19-52 with a 36.5% completion percentage and had a 75.9 QBR in his last game. He's not exactly Tua Tagovailoa.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Hogmatic on October 19, 2018, 12:00:39 pm
I was concerned and worried that Ty isn't playing.  I decided to look at the good.  I started thinking about Connor Noland and what I saw of him against UNT.  First of all, the Oline is light years different from the UNT game.  CN is cat quick with sudden change of direction and can pass on the run.  He has a pretty good arm too.  He is like a poor man's Manziel.   With that being said, he can escape blitzes and roll away from pressure.

CN doesn't know the defenses and matchups good enough to audible correctly.  Then again, we could run the RPO more as it removes the alignment/audible issue and reduces it to a real time decision based on what the defender does-  the QB decides to keep it or release it to the RB or pass it.  The RPO may be perfect for a True FR QB that to reduce pressure on the kid.  He has already run this offense in HS.  In Fact his HS coach has used the CCM offense to set up some of his offense.

I think the RPO run by a real dangerous run threat opens the run lanes for Boyd even more.  The RPO has been good at times with Ty but he is not as quick as CN.  Ty is probably just as fast as CN but he isn't as quick thus he is not a Dangerous Run threat.  I could see us do some delay QB runs to burn pass rushers with CN since he can change direction so quickly. 

We may fall apart or we may see a good performance for a victory.

All sickness is not death - NR
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Svrdhd on October 19, 2018, 12:14:48 pm
The poll numbers the day before the game are a sad snapshot.

1-5 Tulsa.....from the AAC....I mean...sheesh.

Sonofabiscuiteatingmotherhubbard..
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: alohawg on October 19, 2018, 01:15:35 pm
Very slightly have no confidence.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: Ironhawg on October 19, 2018, 04:00:34 pm
The poll numbers the day before the game are a sad snapshot.

1-5 Tulsa.....from the AAC....I mean...sheesh.

Sonofabiscuiteatingmotherhubbard..

This pretty much sums up my feelings today, especially the last line. 
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: jgphillips3 on October 19, 2018, 04:44:50 pm
I was 95% confident with Ty and Boyd.  I’m 70% confident with Noland and Boyd.  Probably about 60% confident with Cole and Boyd.  No Boyd and I would go to toss up at best so hopefully he stays healthy.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: MuskogeeHogFan on October 20, 2018, 09:10:29 am
I like that analysis.  The Tulsa defense is terrible against the pass so Connor NOland won't be going up against a Bama, A&M, AU, etc defense.

Tulsa is #22 in the country in passing yards allowed, just ahead of Kentucky who is #23. Alabama comes in at #29, Auburn #44, LSU #56, A&M is #92. Now I'm not suggesting that Tulsa has the same quality of athletes as those other schools but they are doing something right to be #22 and especially with a front 7 that doesn't apply a lot of QB pressure up front. Their rush defense isn't that great (#113) allowing 214.5 yds/gm so I think the Hogs run and run some more...maybe all day long. We might not throw the ball more than 15-20 times all day where we normally average 31 attempts each game.

More importantly, our defense needs to redeem itself today.
Title: Re: How confident are you in Arkansas' chances vs Tulsa?
Post by: hogbbq on October 20, 2018, 12:24:10 pm
We're going to stomp their arses.

May win, we stomp nobody.